A dissenting voice on info-hazards. I appreciate the bulleted list starting of premises and building towards conclusions. Unfortunately I don't think all the reasoning holds up to close scrutiny. For example, the conclusion that "infohoarders are like black holes for infohazards" conflicts with the premise that "two people can keep a secret if one of them is dead". The post would have been stronger if it had stopped before getting into community dynamics.
Still, this post moved and clarified my thinking. My sketch at a better argument for a similar conclusion is below:
Definitions:
Premises:
Possible strategies on discovering an infohazard:
Expected Value calculations left as an exercise for the reader, but responsible disclosure seems favored. The main exception is if we are in Civilizational Hospice where we know we are going extinct in the next decade anyway and are just trying to live our last few years in peace.
In this post, I give my rules of thumb for dealing with infohazards, which are as far as I can tell wildly divergent from the accepted views of the larger alignment community. I wrote this post less as a means of propagating my own views, and more because I'm curious as to why my views are so uncommon.
My Infohazard Rules of Thumb
Acknowledgments
I kind of expect this post to be wildly unpopular, just because of how wildly the models presented diverge from the accepted wisdom in the alignment community. So I struggled with the question of whether to cite the people who influenced this post. Ultimately, since I identify as an infopandora, I thought I would just bite the bullet and cite my main influence, which is @jessicata. I've never met her and she doesn't know I exist, but a lot of this mental framework is derived from reading her public writings and just kind of pondering the related questions for a few years.