So, with no evidence either way, would you honestly rate the probability of the existence of God as 0.0001%?
That probability is off by a factor of 100 from the one I mentioned.
(And with 'no evidence either way' the probability assigned would be far, far lower than that. It takes rather a lot of evidence to even find your God in hypothesis space.)
You're right, I'm sorry. It was 0.0001. That's still pretty small, though. Is that really what you think it is?
It takes rather a lot of evidence to even find your God in hypothesis space
Don't think of my God, then. Any deity at all.
Do we want to be Bayesian about it? Of course we do. Let's imagine two universes. One formed spontaneously, one was created. Which is more likely to occur?
Personally I think that the created one seems more likely. Apparently you think that the spontaneity is more believable. But as for the probability that any given univers... (read more)
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