AI Timelines

Ben Pace (+126/-16)
Ben Pace
Ben Pacev1.1.0Jul 29th 2020 (+126/-16)

This is to be distinguished from the closely related question of AI takeoff speeds, which is about the speeddynamics of AI progress after human-level AI is developed. developed (e.g. will it be a single project or the whole economy that sees growth, how fast will that growth be, etc).

Ben Pacev1.0.0Jul 16th 2020

AI Timelines is the discussion of how long until various major milestones in AI progress are achieved, whether it's the timeline until a human-level AI is developed, the timeline until certain benchmarks are defeated, the timeline until we can simulate a mouse-level intelligence, or something else.

This is to be distinguished from the closely related question of AI takeoff speeds, which is about the speed of AI progress after human-level AI is developed.