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Here's two phrases I often use: "Better written fast than not written at all" and "You may have changed my betting odds, but you haven't changed my models!" One my friend Oli likes is "Better wrong than vague", though I like the formulation "Confidence is what it sounds like when I want you/reality to show me *precisely* where I'm wrong."

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Open and Welcome Thread December 2018

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[Link] The Vulnerable World Hypothesis (by Bostrom)

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Open Thread November 2018

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[Link] Psychology Replication Quiz

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Goodhart Taxonomy: Agreement

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Ben Pace's Shortform Feed

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[Link] Bounded Rationality: Two Cultures

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