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Here's two phrases I often use: "Better written fast than not written at all" and "You may have changed my betting odds, but you haven't changed my models!" One my friend Oli likes is "Better wrong than vague", though I like the formulation "Confidence is what it sounds like when I want you/reality to show me *precisely* where I'm wrong."

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Open and Welcome Thread December 2018

246d1 min readShow Highlight
1

[Link] The Vulnerable World Hypothesis (by Bostrom)

451mo3 min readShow Highlight
13

The Costly Coordination Mechanism of Common Knowledge

1819mo19 min readShow Highlight
23

A Sketch of Good Communication

1458mo2 min readShow Highlight
28

[Link] Psychology Replication Quiz

493mo1 min readShow Highlight
9

Open Thread November 2018

171mo1 min readShow Highlight
43

Extended Quote on the Institution of Academia

1289mo8 min readShow Highlight
22

Hold On To The Curiosity

948mo3 min readShow Highlight
13

A model I use when making plans to reduce AI x-risk

1361y6 min readShow Highlight
40

Goodhart Taxonomy: Agreement

445mo6 min readShow Highlight
4

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