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Here's two phrases I often use: "Better written fast than not written at all" and "You may have changed my betting odds, but you haven't changed my models!" One my friend Oli likes is "Better wrong than vague", though I like the formulation "Confidence is what it sounds like when I want you/reality to show me *precisely* where I'm wrong."

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[Link] Bounded Rationality: Two Cultures

22d
17 points
1 min read
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Form Your Own Opinions

2mo
52 points
18 min read
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Hold On To The Curiosity

2mo
90 points
3 min read
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13

Why Karma 2.0? (A Kabbalistic Explanation)

3mo
25 points
1 min read
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A Sketch of Good Communication

3mo
132 points
2 min read
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26

The Costly Coordination Mechanism of Common Knowledge

3mo
154 points
66 min read
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23

Extended Quote on the Institution of Academia

4mo
127 points
8 min read
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22

A model I use when making plans to reduce AI x-risk

5mo
136 points
6 min read
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Field-Building and Deep Models

5mo
53 points
3 min read
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12

Against Love Languages

6mo
27 points
2 min read
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9

Recent Comments

\[quick link search\]

Here's one of the standard posts on Overcoming Bias with [a theory of identity](http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/08/a-theory-of-identity.html), which I think just agrees with and fleshes out the first sentence of your comment (with more emphasis on the 'useful'). OB has a [w...(read more)

Critch proved [a bounded version of Lob's theorem](https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.04184) and a related thing where two bounded agents with open source code can prove things about each other's source code. The significance of the agents being bounded, is that (if I recall the contents of the paper correc...(read more)

I was under the impression that there are many programs that want to manipulate our world, who can engage in acausal trade with each other to coordinate and act as a unified entity (which may have a net weight comparable to the simpler programs that are just correct).

This post helped me understand NP noticeably more than the complexity course I was just examined on - thanks. I didn't know there was such a thing as [descriptive complexity theory](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Descriptive_complexity_theory) (i.e. lists of correspondences between various subsets/cl...(read more)

Huh. Wouldn't this argument suggest that, before the games master opens one of the doors, were he to offer you iterated switches, you should each time accept a switch because it has higher expected utility?

Edit: Iterated switches = the games master keeps offering you to switch doors, and you accep...(read more)

You don’t currently have the choice to post to frontpage; the reason your post is on frontpage is because a mod moved it there.

If you’d like posts not to go to frontpage do PM us, and we’ll build a better system for this in time.

Huh. Fluid karma. Might be a good name for it, it more represents the quality where fixed amounts don't corresponding to individual votes.

Everything is by default posted to your personal blog. There ended up being a lot of posts on frontpage that were often low quality, so currently posting frontpage is no longer an option (except for users over a certain karma threshold I believe). Instead mods take responsibility to push appropriate...(read more)