Overly Convenient Excuses
Aug 24, 2017
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This sequence focuses on questions that are as probabilistically clear-cut as questions get. The Bayes-optimal answer is often infeasible to compute, but errors like confirmation bias can take root even in cases where the available evidence is overwhelming and we have plenty of time to think things over.

The Proper Use of Humility

11y
4 min read
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45

The Third Alternative

11y
3 min read
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78

Lotteries: A Waste of Hope

11y
1 min read
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70

New Improved Lottery

11y
2 min read
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34

But There's Still A Chance, Right?

10y
2 min read
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52

The Fallacy of Gray

10y
4 min read
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78

Absolute Authority

10y
7 min read
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73

How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3

11y
2 min read
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395

Infinite Certainty

10y
4 min read
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118

0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities

10y
4 min read
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131

Your Rationality is My Business

11y
2 min read
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26