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Challenges to Christiano’s capability amplification proposal

5d
37 min read
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21

Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and Civilization

2mo
12 min read
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52

Security Mindset and the Logistic Success Curve

6mo
19 min read
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45

Security Mindset and Ordinary Paranoia

6mo
28 min read
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21

Hero Licensing

6mo
51 min read
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76

Against Shooting Yourself in the Foot

6mo
3 min read
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2

Status Regulation and Anxious Underconfidence

6mo
21 min read
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9

Against Modest Epistemology

6mo
14 min read
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48

Blind Empiricism

6mo
14 min read
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16

Living in an Inadequate World

6mo
20 min read
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48

Recent Comments

There will be a single very cold day occasionally regardless of whether global warming is true or false. Anyone who knows the phrase "modus tollens" ought to know that. That said, if two unenlightened ones are arguing back and forth in all sincerity by telling each other about the hot versus cold da...(read more)

The vision for Arbital would have provided incentives to write content, but those features were not implemented before the project ran out of time. I did not feel that at any point the versions of Arbital that were in fact implemented were at a state where I predicted they'd attract lots of users, ...(read more)

I designed a solution from the start, I'm not stupid. It didn't get implemented in time.

Unless I'm missing something, the trouble with this is that, absent a leverage penalty, all of the reasons you've listed for not having a muggable decision algorithm... drumroll... center on the real world, which, absent a leverage penalty, is vastly outweighed by tiny probabilities of googolplexes ...(read more)

Zvi's probably right.

Sure. Measure a human's input and output. Play back the recording. Or did you mean across all possible cases? In the latter case see http://lesswrong.com/lw/pa/gazp_vs_glut/

[Ed Fredkin](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Fredkin) has since sent me a personal email:

> By the way, the story about the two pictures of a field, with and without army tanks in the picture, comes from me. I attended a meeting in Los Angeles, about half a century ago where someone gave a pa...(read more)