abstractapplic

Note: details have been obfuscated and changed to protect – not the innocent, who are invariably vindicated by the end of act three – but the guilty, for whom the narrative provides no such guarantees. My buddy Mike is one of a very small number of people in my life...

I find myself, for the first time in a while, with enough energy and stability to attempt nontrivial projects outside my dayjob. Regarding the next ~10 months, I’ve narrowed my options to two general approaches; as expected beneficiaries of both, I’d like the LessWrong hivemind’s help choosing between them. The...

Introduction * Basis: The rationalist project was built on the idea of overcoming bias, using the last half-century of psych findings to eliminate errors and thereby become stronger. * Problem: The psych literature is wrong (mostly, probably, plausibly; we don't even know). * Problem: Even when it's right, it might...

Content Note: Trolling I The popular conception of Dunning-Kruger is something along the lines of “some people are too dumb to know they’re dumb, and end up thinking they’re smarter than smart people”. This version is popularized in endless articles and videos, as well as in graphs like the one...

This is a followup to the D&D.Sci post I made on the 6th; if you haven’t already read it, you should do so now before spoiling yourself. Here is the web interactive I built to let you evaluate your solution; below is an explanation of the rules used to generate...

This is a D&D.Sci scenario: a puzzle where players are given a dataset to analyze and an objective to pursue using information from that dataset. Thank you to aphyer for the original concept. (NB: The concept was general enough that aphyer can play this one without an unfair advantage.) Intended...

This is a followup to the D&D.Sci post I made nine days ago; if you haven’t already read it, you should do so now before spoiling yourself. Below is an explanation of the rules used to generate the dataset (my full generation code is available here, in case you’re curious...