Yep I don't think it's a category in and of itself, but I have noticed that when it comes to decisions taken in non social settings, where others aren't involved, most of the outcomes I think about are more me-centered than trying to predict what someone else will think or do - and imo, it's a lot easier to predict me-centered things!

I see your point with "wrong" probabilities, and I agree that it's more about uncertainty. Thanks for your thoughts :-)