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Amadeus Pagel
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2Amadeus Pagel's Shortform
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Amadeus Pagel's Shortform
Amadeus Pagel11mo-3-10

If I wanted to see a "quick take" I'd check twitter. I'd rather see more articles without having to click "load more".

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Status quo bias is usually justified
Amadeus Pagel1y10

Status quo bias is a tendency to be skeptical of change, not an outright rejection. I don't see any reason to assume that this tendency is badly calibrated. I don't think the internet had to overcome that much resistance. At least in the US, early legislation like Section 230 was supportive.  There are also technologies where more skepticism would have been appropriate, like leaded gasoline, and arguably even cars.

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The Best Tacit Knowledge Videos on Every Subject
Amadeus Pagel1y10

You've already mentioned cooking as an example and this is definitely something I'd like to imiprove in. I looked up how to crack eggs: 

How to clip nails: https://www.tiktok.com/@jonijawne/video/7212337177772952838?q=cut%20nails&t=1713988543560

How to improve posture:

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The Best Tacit Knowledge Videos on Every Subject
Amadeus Pagel1y20

I was enthusiastic about the title of this post, hoping for something different from the usual lesswrong content, but disappointed by most of the examples. In my view if you take this idea of learning tacit knowledge with video seriously, it shouldn't affect just how you learn, but what you learn, rather then trying to learn book subjects by watching videos.

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Priors and Prejudice
Amadeus Pagel1y70

See also Rational Polarization.

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Priors and Prejudice
Amadeus Pagel1y39

I think charter cities are a questionable idea, even though I'm pro free markets. It seems that the sort of constitional change and stability required for a charter city is no easier to achieve then the kind of constitutional change and stability required for a free market in the entire country. I don't think trying either in developing countries as an outsider is a good use of anyone's resources.

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The Limits of the Existence Proof Argument for General Intelligence
Amadeus Pagel2y10

I think the 1st argument proves too much - I don't think we usually expect simulations to never work unless otherwise proven? Maybe I'm misunderstanding your point?

We usually use the term simulation to refer to models that are meant to help us understand something, maybe even to make predictions, but not to replace what is supposed to be simulated.

To keep things brief, the human intelligence explosion seems to require open brain surgery to re-arrange neurons, which seems a lot more complicated than flipping bits in RAM.

Yes, this is one of the many differences between the brain and the computer, and given so many differences we simply can't conclude from any attribute of a brain that a computer with the same attribute is possible.

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AGI Safety FAQ / all-dumb-questions-allowed thread
Amadeus Pagel3y131

Meta: Anonymity would make it easier to ask dumb questions.

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2Amadeus Pagel's Shortform
11mo
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10Status quo bias is usually justified
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-21The Limits of the Existence Proof Argument for General Intelligence
2y
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