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American Psychohistory

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11mo

AI Politics: Polarization and Chaos

Disclaimer: Most futurology turns out to be totally wrong and utterly without foundation. This goes double for unprecedented world-changing tech like AI. Still, it’s difficult for me to imagine that we won’t see some version of the following scenario. Major Assumption: No Superintelligence Speedrun We might quickly hit AGI and...

Mar 31, 2025•4

American Psychohistory

11mo

American Psychohistory — LessWrong

American Psychohistory

Message

11mo

AI Politics: Polarization and Chaos

Mar 31, 2025•4

American Psychohistory

11mo

AI Politics: Polarization and Chaos

American Psychohistory

11mo

Disclaimer: Most futurology turns out to be totally wrong and utterly without foundation. This goes double for unprecedented world-changing tech like AI. Still, it’s difficult for me to imagine that we won’t see some version of the following scenario.

Major Assumption: No Superintelligence Speedrun

We might quickly hit AGI and then use a million AGIs to invent superintelligence in a month. In that case, unless you work at the AI company concerned or are an important government regulator, you will have next to no impact on how things turn out.

For everyone else, it's more important to concentrate on medium/slow takeoff scenarios in which AI is integrated into and disrupts industries and everyday life. This... (read 1093 more words →)