- Money will be able to buy results in the real world better than ever.
- People's labour gives them less leverage than ever before.
- Achieving outlier success through your labour in most or all areas is now impossible.
- There was no transformative leveling of capital, either within or between countries.
If this is the "default" outcome there WILL be blood. The rational thing to do in this case it to get a proper prepper bunker and see whats left when the dust have settled.
Excellent points. My experience is that people in general do not like to think that the things they are doing are could be done in other ways or not at all, because that means that they have to rethink their own role and purpose.
I'm also excited because, while I think I have most of the individual subskills, I haven't personally been nearly as good at listening to wisdom as I'd like, and feel traction on trying harder.
Great post! I personally have a tendency to disregard wisdom because it feels "too easy", that if I am given some advice and it works I think it was just luck or correlation, then I have to go and try "the other way (my way...)" and get a punch in the face from the universe and then be like "ohhh, so that why I should have stuck to the advice".
Now when I think about it, it might also be because of intellectual arrogance, that I think I am smarter than the advice or the person that gives the advice.
But I have lately started to think a lot about way we think that successful outcomes require overreaching and burnout. Why do we have to fight so hard for everything and feel kind of guilty if it came to us without much effort? So maybe my failure to heed advices of wisdom is based in a need to achieve (overdo, modify, add, reduce, optimize etc.) rather than to just be.
My experience says otherwise, but it might have happen to stumble on some militant foodies.
"Conservative evangelical Christians spend an unbelievable amount of time focused on God: Church services and small groups, teaching their kids, praying alone and with friends. When I was a Christian I prayed 10s of times a day, asking God for wisdom or to help the person I was talking to. If a zealous Christian of any stripe is comfortable around me they talk about God all the time."
Isn't this true for ALL true believers regardless of conviction? I could easily replace 'Conservative evangelical Christians and God' with 'Foodies and food', 'Teenage girls and influencers', 'Rationalists and logic', 'Gym bros and grams of protein per kg/lb of body mass'. There seems to be something inherent in the will to preach to others out of good will, that we want to share something that we believe would benefit others. The road to hell isn't paved with good intentions for nothing...
It would for national security reasons be strange to assume that there already now is no coordination among the US firms. And... are we really sure that China is behind in the AGI race?
And one wonder how much the bottleneck is TSMC (the western "AI-block" have really put a lot of their eggs in one basket...) and how much is customer preference towards Nvidia chips. The chips wars 2025 will be very interesting to follow. Thanks for a good chip summary!
Yes, I think so too, but it will never happened. AGI/ASI is too valuable to be discussed publicly. I have never ever been given the opportunity to have a say in any other big corporate decision regarding the development of weapons and for sure I will not have it this time either.
"They" will build the things "they" believe are necessary to protect "the American or Chinese way of life", and "they" will not ask you for permission or your opinion.