Context: I read Eliezer Yudkowski's post "Frequentist statistics are frequently subjective" and it inspired me to get a better first-principles understanding of some statistical concepts. Now these are my personal thoughts about the topic. Don't believe me; if I had attached confidence intervals to the results of my investigation, they...
I'm not a biologist, but I'm trying to get something like a gears-level understanding of the situation we are in. There are phenomena that seem superficially clear to me, but if I'm honest, I do not really understand what's going on. For example, take the new Covid variants from Great...
[Slider thankfully has pointed out some flaws in parts of my argumentation and I recommend you to also read Slider's comment.] Everybody who wants to have agency over one's live should believe two things. Firstly, there is an objective truth about the world in which we live. Secondly, we can...