Archimedes

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The splits are mostly due to disagreements, not economics.

Backcasting AI speedup feels strange to me. Below a certain usefulness threshold, the researchers don’t use AI assistance for research. It doesn’t actively slow them down below that threshold, so it bottoms out at whatever their unassisted rate is.

The male action hero stereotype is definitely a thing, even if it’s not perfectly adhered to 100%.

Examples: Rambo (first films), John McClane, James Bond (Sean Connery era), Chuck Norris, Steven Seagal and Jean-Claude Van Damme in films like Under Siege and Bloodsport, Jack Reacher

There is a connection. Stockfish does use Leela Chess Zero (the open source, distributed training offspring of AlphaChessZero) training data for its own evaluation neural network. This NNUE is a big piece of Stockfish progress in the last few years.

It’s not straightforward to compare AlphaZeroChess and Stockfish though as the former is heavily GPU-dependent whereas the latter is CPU optimized. However, Google may have decided to train to a roughly comparable level (under some hardware assumptions) as a proof of concept and not bothered trying to advance much further.

@Zvi, you've got your work cut out for you. ;)

Wow. This must be the pickup equivalent of cold call telemarketing.

The biggest problem, IMO, is that what people want to pay for which things is only loosely correlated with what makes sense in reality. You would overfund the sexy line items and underfund the boring-but-necessary ones.

Few people have the bandwidth to meaningfully participate in such a direct democracy.

What's the solution? Is it a trick question? I don't see how you have nontrivial solutions for a complex matrix unless it is very special like, say, a diagonal matrix composed of roots of unity shifted by phase angle.

There's a good chance I got math-sniped and completely misinterpreted what Hastings is pointing at.

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