In a cosmic scope, everything is almost never oneshot in its nature - in the narrowing scope of a thing in question, it's almost always oneshot (our daily lives being somewhere in the middle of these macro and micro scales) - and the severity of the scope is a wobbly line drawn somewhere in its spectrum of worst case scenarios arranged by diminishing probability. For ASI, even the most lenient line is at an astoundingly high level of probability. It's only not oneshot in the fact that a future non-human civilization can try again after learning from our ou... (read more)
In a cosmic scope, everything is almost never oneshot in its nature - in the narrowing scope of a thing in question, it's almost always oneshot (our daily lives being somewhere in the middle of these macro and micro scales) - and the severity of the scope is a wobbly line drawn somewhere in its spectrum of worst case scenarios arranged by diminishing probability. For ASI, even the most lenient line is at an astoundingly high level of probability. It's only not oneshot in the fact that a future non-human civilization can try again after learning from our ou... (read more)