Newbie here.
In the AI Timeline post, one person says it's likely that we will consume 1000x more energy in 8 years than we do today. (And another person says it's plausible.)
How would that happen? I guess the idea is: we discover over the next 3-5 years that plowing compute into AI is hugely beneficial, and so we then race to build hundreds or thousands of nuclear reactors?
Intuitively, I assume that LLMs trained on human data are unlikely to become much smarter than humans, right? Without some additional huge breakthrough, other than just being a language model?
Here is my much shorter guide, which I wrote a year or so ago. I guess I would call it the shortest incomplete guide. It's geared towards an audience that wants to do much less thinking about them.