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What a reduction of "probability" probably looks like
BenP15y10

Ah thanks. I should've been able to figure that out from your third thought experiment anyways.

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What a reduction of "probability" probably looks like
BenP15y60

I'm unfamiliar with the terminology "2-sampling", "2-world", "3-world", etc. and a quick internet search has not turned up anything useful. Could you summarize what they mean or direct me to a place that explains them?

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What a reduction of "probability" probably looks like
BenP15y30

I'm confused here -- if the coin's randomness really is fundamental, and not a property of our ignorance, then it doesn't make sense to say that a being is too computationally weak to predict it -- no amount of computational strength would allow prediction

He stated that the randomness is being provided by a pseudorandom number generator.

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Conflicts Between Mental Subagents: Expanding Wei Dai's Master-Slave Model
BenP15y80

This model is missing a plausible evolutionary explanation for how U and C may have evolved. That's a pretty gaping hole because if we don't constrain U and C to being plausible under evolution then they can be given whatever motives, responsibilities, etc. that are convenient to fit the model to existing data (see Psychohistorian's epicycle comment).

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