Thirdly, although I’ve been talking about the “value” of a position as if it’s a well-defined concept, it mostly isn’t. Stockfish’s value calculations are grounded in the likelihood of it winning from that position when playing itself. But there’s no clear way to translate from that to the likelihood of winning against one’s actual opponent, which is what we’re interested in. I won’t discuss this further here, but trying to pin down how to estimate a position’s value in that sense seems potentially fruitful.
I'll take a shot. If is the expected return (1 for win, 0.5 for draw and 0 for loss) for Alice given that she's playing Bob, she knows Bob's source code, and the moves have been played so far, then the value of a position for Alice is where is the set of programs that Alice's opponent is drawn from.
I read this as government actions will be taken to persecute me and/or government actions will be taken to make me afraid. I only care about the first category. Whether or not I'm afraid is entirely within my power. I could be actively persecuted and still choose to not be afraid.
News is really bad right now and LLMs don't help.
That link description is misleading. That article does not claim that. The article states that they found 170 citizens that have been factually detained by ICE. ICE may detain US citizens without a warrant for searches and arrests if conditions are met (see Powers without warrant section a4 and a5 as well as Searches without warrant). If you hit an ICE agent then they may detain you. Some people in that article were wrongfully detained but 170 is not the number.
George Retes, an Iraq war veteran whose ID was in his car mere feet away
That is misleading. He was not arrested under suspicion of being an illegal alien so the ID part is irrelevant. ICE was in the process of clearing a protest. He may have been detained for BS reasons but its still important to distinguish between arresting someone under suspicion of being an illegal alien and other suspicions.
And how hard would it be for ICE to flip an entry in a database?
I wish you were more specific here. It could actually be pretty hard for ICE to flip an entry in a database depending on the database we're talking about. Mobile Fortify draws from several databases and I don't think ICE has overwrite access to any of them.
ICE officials have told us that an apparent biometric match by Mobile Fortify is a 'definitive' determination of a person's status and that an ICE officer may ignore evidence of American citizenship—including a birth certificate—if the app says the person is an alien.
—Ranking member of the House Homeland Security Committee Bennie G. Thompson (D.-Miss.)
If this claim is true then there would be direct evidence of that happening. There should be no need to rely on word of mouth. From what I've read they only run the app when a suspect does not provide an ID.
I won't go over everything. I agree with the fact that checks on the executive are under attack.
A chilling effect may be the intention but its not the reality.
The No Kings Protest on October 18th may have been the largest protest since 1970. There were at least 5 million people in it. I have a lot of uncertainty about the future but the environment is not breeding a lot of docility or much of any of the psychological conditions necessary for a successful authoritarian.
I am a US citizen who opposes Trump. I follow the political situation closely and I would consider my threat-level to be low to very low. Why do you think the threat-level is medium?
btw I appreciate the privacy guide.
This is a solid piece of analysis.
There are also some memes that don't occupy a clear position:
A wait-and-see crowd ready to take the winning side will share these kind of memes. They are most common in political power struggles but may arise in the AI landscape.
I agree this variation would lengthen the game.
The experience would change for sure for all human players.
An objectively losing human player may intentionally play objectively bad moves that lengthen a game and complicate it. It’s a learned skill that some players have honed better than others.
In this variation that skill is neutralized so I imagine elos would be different enough to have different player rankings.
This thread made me very curious as to what the elo rating of an optimal player would be when it knows the source code of its opponent.
For flawed deterministic programs an optimal player can steer the game to points where the program makes a fatal mistake. For probabilistic programs an optimal player is intentionally lengthening the game to induce a mistake. For this thought experiment if an optimal player is playing a random player than an optimal player can force the game to last 100s of moves consistently.
Another factor for the evolutionary benefit of peeing promptly is it decreases the risk of Urinary Tract Infections. It also lets you drink more water.
Some other context:
The DC Attorney General is currently suing the Trump administration on several grounds including a violation of the Posse Comitatus Act (PCA). PCA prevents the military from being used as law enforcement unless an express exception is provided in the Constitution or in an Act of Congress. Its significant that the Trump administration has already lost a case on the grounds that they violated the PCA. In Newsom vs Trump Trump's lawyers mainly argued for a Constitutional exception to the PCA that permits the US military to perform some law enforcement duties under certain conditions. In a memo written by Hegseth, soldiers were permitted to perform law enforcement actions such as: crowd control, temporary detention, cursory searches, and the establishment of security perimeters when protecting federal property, personnel, or functions. There is a site for this mission that's still up. That case was lost but appealed. The judge argued that this alleged power to use the military as law enforcement was way too broad. More to the point this is not an expressly stated executive power as required by the PCA but a power assumed from an implied reading of the Constitution. It has never been assumed before. The judge essentially asked that the soldiers be trained as usual without that exception.
The DC case on PCA grounds seems weaker than the California Case for two reasons:
I'm not a lawyer but I do think the DC case is still strong on the grounds that the National Guard was clearly placed under federal command and control when they were supposed to remain under state command and control (state militia status).
I've stopped posting this timeline.
Here's a summary for closure:
The emergency ended on September 10th. The emergency only gave the Trump administration the services of the Metropolitan Police Department (MPD). The Trump administration did try to replace the MPD Chief with an emergency one but the courts prevented it. The National Guard troops will remain until at least until December. These troops are from the DC National Guard and the National Guard from several red states. They total around 2000. Another Executive Order was passed in late August that created a number of units including: a rapid response National Guard unit (not deputized) and a deputized public safety unit. Both units are intended for deployment in DC and elsewhere. There is still a pretty large presence of federal agents in DC and they are doing a lot of arresting. According to the Attorney General Pam Bondi about 1500 people were arrested in the month of August by federal agents which is on par with the 20,000 arrested by the MPD each year. DC Mayor Bowser created the Safe and Beautiful Operations Center to ensure coordination with federal law enforcement to the "maximum extent allowable within the district." DC statutes still make it a "sanctuary" city but there is a bill that passed the House to eliminate those statutes and prevent the DC council from passing similar ones.
Here is a good legal analysis of the takeover.
This vocalized some thoughts I had about our current culture. Stories can be training for how to act and bad melodramatic tropes are way too common. Every sad song about someone not getting over their ex or a dark hero movie where the protagonist is perpetually depressed about something that happened in the past conditions people the wrong way.
There is an annoying character in the recent Nuremberg film. He's based off a real person but I don't know how accurate that portrayal is.
He’s a psychiatrist manipulated by Goering. He's supposed to prevent the jailed Nazis from killing themselves but he also wants to write a book about the Nazis. In the process he becomes sympathetic to Goering and ferries letters between him and his spouse. When he becomes aware of Goering's crimes the psychiatrist tells Goering off and slams his cell door. It was ridiculous in the face of the scale of the Holocaust and also because the anger seemed to originate more from the feeling of being lied to. The psychiatrist is portrayed as selfish and has a redemption arc but I don't think that the writers realized just how selfish that character was.