LESSWRONG
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Brian Brunswick
2010
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Oracle predictions don't apply to non-existent worlds
Brian Brunswick4y30

Surely the problem here is that you cannot have both the 90% statistic and the oracle in the same situation - they are mutually contradictory (given your free will in choosing a bet)

Replace the oracle by instead an agent that is promising to fix the game so that you either win or lose your bet. Then the EDT strategy is correct.

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