Hey all, I'm from the Philippines, and there's a huge debate currently in mainstream Philippine media on whether Ivermectin is an effective treatment for COVID-19 or not. And I'm wondering if I should advocate for people to not buy Ivermectin as a treatment for COVID-19 in the Philippines for now....
I know a group of friends that plan on raising ~$20,000 to donate to COVID-19 efforts in the Philippines. They are considering between donating PPEs or ventilators to local hospitals, and I want to help them quantify the expected impact of the two general options, to see which one is...
My typo reaction may have glitched, but I think you meant "Don't push the frontier of capabilities" in the last bullet?
I've only read the blog post and a bit of the paper so far, but do you plan to investigate how to remove alignment faking in these situations? I wonder if there are simple methods to do so without negatively affecting the model's capabilities and safety.
Thanks for doing this important research! I may have found 2 minor typos:
Thanks for this analysis! A minor note: you're probably aware of this, but OpenPhil funds a lot of technical AI safety field-building work as part of their "Global Catastrophic Risks Capacity Building" grants. So the proportion of field-building / talent-development grants would be significantly higher if those were included.
Thanks for making this! This is minor, but I think the total should be $189M and not $169M?
Your last sentence in the first paragraph seems to be cut off at "gets a lot more than"!
I'm following up on Leon's question - have the results already been posted? If not, when will they be posted (if they will be)? I'm curious to know. Thanks!
And this thread from Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding is worrying too.
Thanks for this. This tweet from Dr. Jacob Glanville, founder and CEO of Centivax, makes me worried about this variant too:
The new B.1.1.529 strain out of South Africa has 15 mutations in the RBD where majority of neutralizing antibodies bind. The current vaccines and even Delta-based vaccines probably won’t work against this new strain. Swift, vigorous containment is needed.
Hey all, I'm from the Philippines, and there's a huge debate currently in mainstream Philippine media on whether Ivermectin is an effective treatment for COVID-19 or not. And I'm wondering if I should advocate for people to not buy Ivermectin as a treatment for COVID-19 in the Philippines for now. I also want to know if I should be advocating for the Philippine FDA to continue banning its use (or to approve its use). If anyone here has knowledge on Ivermectin, or has spent a bit of time looking at the evidence about it, I'd love to hear your thoughts on it.
For context, "Some doctors in the Philippines and abroad, as well... (read 360 more words →)
I know a group of friends that plan on raising ~$20,000 to donate to COVID-19 efforts in the Philippines. They are considering between donating PPEs or ventilators to local hospitals, and I want to help them quantify the expected impact of the two general options, to see which one is better.
Can anyone here provide evidence, such as through Fermi estimates or citing other sources, on which of the two ideas would do more good? My gut tells me that donating PPEs is a better use of the money, since ventilators are costly. They are also considering donating to a place that will make alternative ventilators, which might be another option. Would love other people to chime in their thoughts!
Thanks for linking these! I also want to highlight that Sam shared his AGI timeline in the Bloomberg interview: "I think AGI will probably get developed during this president’s term, and getting that right seems really important."