Agree with everything in this post, with your updated EOY 2029 timeline, but only based on your definition: where 95% of remote labor may be now done by AI. Don't think there is enough cross over/correlation between AI being able to do the duties of remote labor SWE roles, and automating R&D. I'd say all LLMs right now struggle with complex low level codebases (which from my understanding roles dealing with low level code are usually in office/not remote, and a lot of R&D involves low level code). I've used the best LLMs in IDE, with all the context window improvements and features of recent, and it still makes mistakes regularly, and... (read more)
Agree with everything in this post, with your updated EOY 2029 timeline, but only based on your definition: where 95% of remote labor may be now done by AI. Don't think there is enough cross over/correlation between AI being able to do the duties of remote labor SWE roles, and automating R&D. I'd say all LLMs right now struggle with complex low level codebases (which from my understanding roles dealing with low level code are usually in office/not remote, and a lot of R&D involves low level code). I've used the best LLMs in IDE, with all the context window improvements and features of recent, and it still makes mistakes regularly, and... (read more)