I'm a 20-year U.S. Army officer who is retiring from the military and interested in AI going well, so I'm a pretty apt version of the "professional" you note here. I'm not a rationalist, nor am I very "accultured", so discount accordingly.
My initial reaction to the post was to note that many "rationalist ideas" do have equivalents, even imperfect. In the Army, our "ask vs guess" is codified as hierarchical relationships (you can "ask" a peer, you "guess" at a superior). "Steelmanning" is regularly practiced in intelligence as "most likely" or "most danger... (read more)
I'm a 20-year U.S. Army officer who is retiring from the military and interested in AI going well, so I'm a pretty apt version of the "professional" you note here. I'm not a rationalist, nor am I very "accultured", so discount accordingly.
My initial reaction to the post was to note that many "rationalist ideas" do have equivalents, even imperfect. In the Army, our "ask vs guess" is codified as hierarchical relationships (you can "ask" a peer, you "guess" at a superior). "Steelmanning" is regularly practiced in intelligence as "most likely" or "most danger... (read more)