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johnswentworth's Shortform
CounterBlunder1mo30

We haven't had one yet! But we only did it ~3 times. Obviously people are more careful than they'd normally be while dancing on the slippery floor.

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johnswentworth's Shortform
CounterBlunder1mo30

I'll add to this list: If you have a kitchen with a tile floor, have everyone take their shoes off, pour soap and water on the floor, and turn it into a slippery sliding dance party. It's so fun. (My friends and I used to call it "soap kitchen" and it was the highlight of our house parties.)

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Three Subtle Examples of Data Leakage
CounterBlunder9mo21

I see, that makes sense. Thank you!

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Three Subtle Examples of Data Leakage
CounterBlunder9mo253

Can you help me see this point? Why not correct it in the dataset? (Assuming that the dataset hasn't yet been used to train any models)

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Print Books of Scott Alexander's Writing
CounterBlunder2y10

I'm long overdue here, but thank you so much for doing this!! I've been wanting this for a long time and just discovered this post :)

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Long Covid Risks: 2023 Update
CounterBlunder2y10

see my comment above -- I (ironically) meant aphasia

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Long Covid Risks: 2023 Update
CounterBlunder2y10

hahaha I actually also meant aphasia :P

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Long Covid Risks: 2023 Update
CounterBlunder2y30

This is ~even more~ anecdotal, but me and several of my friends have noticed increased anosmia since the pandemic, but critically starting before any of us got covid (and including friends who never got it). We conjectured that it could be from some combination of very high stress levels for a long time + social isolation? Just to add some data points to the mix.

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Animal welfare EA and personal dietary options
CounterBlunder4y290

Pretty much all the writing I've read by Holocaust survivors says that this was not true, that the experience was unambiguously worse than being dead, and that the only thing that kept them going was the hope of being freed. (E.g. according to Victor Frankl in "Man's Search for Meaning", all the prisoners in his camp agreed that, not only was it worse than being dead, it was so bad that any good experiences after being freed could not make up for it how bad it was. Why they didn't kill themselves is an interesting question that he explores a bit in the book.) Are there any Holocaust survivors who claim otherwise?

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There is essentially one best-validated theory of cognition.
CounterBlunder4yΩ0100

Thanks for the thoughtful response, that perspective makes sense. I take your point that ACT-R is unique in the ways you're describing, and that most cognitive scientists are not working on overarching models of the mind like that. I think maybe our disagreement is about how good/useful of an overarching model ACT-R is? It's definitely not like in physics, where some overarching theories are widely accepted (e.g. the standard model) even by people working on much more narrow topics -- and many of the ones that aren't (e.g. string theory) are still widely known about and commonly taught. The situation in cog sci (in my view, and I think in many people's views?) is much more that we don't have an overarching model of the mind in anywhere close to the level of detail/mechanistic specificity that ACT-R posits, and that any such attempt would be premature/foolish/not useful right now. Like, I think if you polled cognitive scientists, the vast majority would disagree with the title of your post -- not because they think there's a salient alternative, but because they think that there is no theory that even comes close to meriting the title of "best-validated theory of cognition" (even if technically one theory is ahead of the others). Do you know what I mean? Of course, even if most cognitive scientists don't believe in ACT-R in that way, that alone doesn't mean that ACT-R is wrong.. I'm curious about the evidence that Terry is talking about above. I just think the field would look really, really different if we actually had a halfway-decent paradigm/overarching model of the mind. And it's not like ACT-R is some unknown idea that is poised to take over the field once people learn about it. Everyone knew about it in the 90s, and then it fell out of widespread use -- and my prior on why that happened is that people weren't finding it super useful. (Although like I said, I'm really curious to learn more about what Terry/other contemporary people are doing with it!)

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10Printable book of some rationalist creative writing (from Scott A. & Eliezer)
7mo
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2How are you currently modeling COVID contagiousness?
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