
- Tell me father, when is the line
where ends everything good and fine?
I keep searching, but I don't find.
- The line my son, is just behind.
Camille Berger
There is hope that some “warning shot” would help humanity get its act together and change its trajectory to avoid extinction from AI. However, I don't think that's necessarily true.
There may be a threshold beyond which the development and deployment of advanced AI becomes essentially irreversible and inevitably leads to existential catastrophe. Humans might be happy, not even realizing that they are already doomed. There is a difference between the “point of no return” and "extinction." We may cross the point of no return without realizing it.... (read 449 more words →)
I agree, that's an important point. I probably worry more about your first possibility, as we are already seeing this effect today, and worry less about the second, which would require a level of resignation that I've rarely seen. Entities that are responsible would likely try to do something about it, but the ways this “we're doomed, let's profit” might happen are:
Another case of harmful warning shot is if the lesson learnt from it is “we need stronger AI systems to prevent this”. This probably goes in hand with a poor credit assignment.