Craig Fratrik


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Some googling did not yield a source for "Had his family issue threats of at least symbolic physical violence". Can you provide a link?

The closest I got was this:

"I have no idea what's going on, they're holding my son captive for five hours," Srdan told local Serbian radio station B92. "This is a fight for the libertarian world, this is not just a fight for Novak, but a fight for the whole world! "If they don't let him go in half an hour, we will gather on the street, this is a fight for everyone."

If that is all there is, I don't think it is accurately described as "Had his family issue threats of at least symbolic physical violence."

And if someone is feeling in the mood, is there a link for 6 as well? 5 minutes of googling yielded irresponsible behavior around his claimed positive test, but nothing about the french open.

The metaphor discussion reminded me of Cat Coupling[1], "where it’s unclear whether an attribute is meant as justifiably picking out a subset, or unjustifiably describing the whole, and as a result strengthening the connection between the concept and the attribute." E.g. "the only ones that will lose out are rich bosses": are all bosses rich, or will the non-rich bosses excluded? Nerst argues that such a phrase leverages the ambiguity to be more powerful.

Another way the metaphor struggles is that usually we don't disagree if it's raining. In November, was a supermarket a high risk setting?

I would say mocking the wet people isn't the problem. The externality of infection, mean that the pro-umbrella crowd believe they are being made wet by the non-umbrella crowd.

So the two problems with the metaphor:

  1. The degree of rain coming down is agreed upon, community risk is not.
  2. Pro-maskers view your choice not use an umbrella as getting them wet. (And as Zvi says, in some times and places, they are not wrong.)


Small typo:

NYC Testing cites -> sites

I do realize this is not a practical solution for ‘the public,’ it’s too complicated on several levels, but it’s not too complicated for you if you are reading this and worried about maintaining protection and also worried about the cost of continuous booster shots.

Is there a feasible way for me to measure my antibody level?

Couldn't see the substack version:

This page is private - try logging in with a different email, or letting the author know they've linked to a private page.

Both logged in and incognito.

typo: An argument against weaning masks on the margin, and

should be

An argument against wearing


"after testing negative every day or quite a while. Daily testing is an interesting idea."

should be

after testing negative every day for

NIH Director Francis Collins claimed he misspoke, and tweeted to clarify.

Let me clarify the masking message that I garbled on @NewDay this morning. Vaccinated parents who live in communities with high COVID transmission rates should mask when out in public indoor settings to minimize risks to their unvaccinated kids. No need to mask at home.

Not sure how to feel about the poor communication, but propagating the followup, I think.

What type of pump do you use?

I was having trouble getting an extension on my bike pump that would work.

I started thinking about how how 3d-print something that would reach in and make it free flow.* Perhaps such a device would help your issue.

  • Step 1: Learn how to do 3d-printing

You might want to add Ireland to your Europe graph. It is now higher than UK and much steeper. Portugal is also running parallel to UK since Dec 28 (in log levels).

Actually in general, how do you decide who is in vs out? Netherlands and Denmark are still on the decline.

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