Tyler Cowen, the economist, wrote something that might shed some light on how to look at this.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-10-06/trump-s-covid-irresponsibility-isn-t-the-main-problem?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-view&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_content=view&sref=htOHjx5Y