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0:00 Intro 9:20 Percentage Likelihood of Death by AI 11:24 Timing 19:15 Chimps to Human Jump 21:55 Thoughts on ChatGPT 27:51 LLMs & AGI 32:49 Time to React? 38:29 AI Takeover 41:51 AI Agency 49:35 Loopholes 51:14 Training AIs to Be Honest 58:00 Psychology 59:36 How Solvable Is the AI...
Do some of you keep a record of personal predictions? I.e. either predictions of personal events, such as > likelihood of getting at least a 10% raise in the next 12 months or events conditional on decisions, actions, such as > likelihood of getting at least 10% higher income in...