Danny Grossman
1
3
Danny Grossman has not written any posts yet.
Danny Grossman has not written any posts yet.
See below- I made some estimations based on literature and analyzed a current large scale project.
cheers,
Danny
Thanks! I love your paper- very concise and well written.
I am also an amuature and very new to thinking about future energy market and technology, but here goes:
When looking at pricing (even LCoE), you should compare intermittent energy sources (PV, wind) to baseload sources (nuclear or fossil) when taking into account additional energy storage costs.
The "solar load", or duty cycle (total energy produced/time vs. peak power possible by adding up solar panel rating) is low: 10-20% in sunny areas of the globe, peaking at 30% in the Sahara. The LCoE takes the load factor into consideration I believe. But in the time Solar (or wind) is not producing, we need energy... (read more)
Thanks Victor. I agree, even for the optimistic planning phase it seems that the project is cost comparable to nuclear (with 3.6GW nuclear set up costs being 22B$) but provides "average 20h a day power". timeline is stated to be 2029, again, in the ballpark of nuclear energy of 5-10y.
So this project is not quick nor cheap and you get much less than nuclear power (with current day reactor technology, working in the field for several decades).
BTW: it is planned to take up 1500 square kilometers, another reason to be in the desert...
Probably not a rational cost effective choice.