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David Hornbein
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Banning Said Achmiz (and broader thoughts on moderation)
David Hornbein22d9466

If I were a moderator, I would have banned Jesus Christ Himself if He required me to spend one hundred hours moderating His posts on multiple occasions. Given your description here I am surprised you did not do this a long time ago. I admire your restraint, if not necessarily your wisdom.

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Somebody invented a better bookmark
David Hornbein1mo51

Neat, I'll try it out. $14 is a small price to pay for a shot at a minor ergonomic upgrade.

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Rauno's Shortform
David Hornbein2mo30

Publishing anything is a ton of work. People don't do a ton of work unless they have a strong reason, and usually not even then.

I have lots of ideas for essays and blog posts, often on subjects where I've done dozens or hundreds of hours of research and have lots of thoughts. I'll end up actually writing about 1/3 of these, because it takes a lot of time and energy. And this is for random substack essays. I don't have to worry about hostile lawyers, or alienating potential employees, or a horde of Twitter engagement farmers trying to take my words out of context.

I have no specific knowledge, but I imagine this is probably a big part of it.

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Explaining British Naval Dominance During the Age of Sail
David Hornbein4mo210

A good summary, but it's worth noting that while the death penalty for failing to fight was on the books, Byng's execution was the only time it was ever actually carried out. It's a bit similar to how the US military legally has the authority to execute deserters, but in the past century has only ever exercised this once out of tens of thousand of sentences (Eddie Slovak during WWII).

From reading the autobiography of Lord Cochrane, an insanely aggressive and insanely successful captain during the Napoleonic Wars, my impression is that the Royal Navy was very concerned with the allocation of credit, glory, and prestige, as well as money prizes. He describes a system where officers are writing to the Admiralty headquarters to describe the meritorious or shameful actions of their peers and subordinates after every major action, and sometimes convoked courts martial to resolve disputes, as in the case of Lord Cochrane's rival Lord Gambier. Lord Cochrane also argues that the prize system is critical to maintaining the Royal Navy's morale and effectiveness.

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Eukryt Wrts Blg
David Hornbein4mo1313

Overtly, OP is trying to shun Cremieux for failing to meet an assumed-widely-agreed "standard of care and compassion". This is obviously based on OP's belief that Cremieux's conduct is unacceptably outside the Overton window, even if they used the word "standard" instead of the word "Overton window". The only point of deploying phrases like "Hoo boy" and "do better" is to appeal to a social consensus. OP isn't being sneaky here or anything, you're just misinterpreting their dialect.

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Cole Wyeth's Shortform
David Hornbein7mo1715

Selection bias isn't the whole story. The median paper in almost every field is notably worse than it was in, say, 1985. Academia is less selective than it used to be—in the U.S., there are more PhDs per capita, and the average IQ/test scores/whatever metric has dropped for every level of educational attainment.

Grab a journal that's been around for a long time, read a few old papers and a few new papers at random, and you'll notice the difference.

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Eli's shortform feed
David Hornbein10mo30

OKcupid is certainly a better product for hundreds of thousands, or possibly millions, of unusually literate people, including ~all potential developers and most people in their social circles. It's not a small niche.

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My motivation and theory of change for working in AI healthtech
David Hornbein11moΩ13244

What does your company do, specifically? I found the brief description at HealthcareAgents.com vague and unclear. Can you walk me through an example case of what you do for a patient, or something?

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MichaelDickens's Shortform
David Hornbein1y71

Hm, this timing suggests the change could be a consequence of Karnofsky stepping away from the organization.

Which makes sense, now that I think about it. He's by far the most politically strategic leader Open Philanthropy has had, so with him gone, it's not shocking they might revert towards standard risk-averse optionality-maxxing foundation behavior.

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MichaelDickens's Shortform
David Hornbein1y3342

"Open Phil higher-ups being friends with Anthropic higher-ups" is an understatement. An Open Philanthropy cofounder (Holden Karnofsky) is married to an Anthropic cofounder (Daniela Amodei). It's a big deal!

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