What do you think about the denial-of-wallet risk with this migration? From what I've read about Vercel on ServerlessHorrors (a partisan source) and in random internet comments, you can make costly mistakes with Vercel, but they'll waive the charges.
Does it make sense that LW voting arrows are arranged the way they are? This is how they look right now:
username 12h ▾ 1 ▴ ✘ 5 ✔
My intuition protests, and I think I know why. Upvote and downvote arrows are usually stacked vertically, with the upvote arrow on top. When you translate vertical to left-to-right text, you get what was above to the left and what was below to the right. It means the following horizontal arrangement:
username 12h ▴ 1 ▾ ✔ 5 ✘
3What skills would be transferable for the planning stages of all three examples?
The baseline planning skill is having a start-to-end plan at all as opposed to winging it or only thinking ahead in an ad hoc manner. One step beyond this is writing the plan down, perhaps as a checklist. You can use the written copy to keep track of where you are, refine the plan, and simply to not forget it.
A step beyond, which seems rarer and less automatic for people than the previous, is to employ any kind of what they call a "work breakdown structure": a systematic mapping from higher-level steps ("find out the legal requirements for filming a car chase") to lower-level steps ("ask indie filmmaker chat what legal firm they recommend").
This, um, dramatically changes the picture. It could be nothing.
As a heavy user of the Internet, I didn't recognize this copypasta. My mistake was only googling a large chunk in double quotes.
Edit: "Dramatically" is intended as a pun on "drama", hence the italics. I think the new information changes the picture significantly, and yet the bio remains a red flag.
I don't broadly approve of trying to diagnose people over the Internet, nor am I qualified to, but it's striking how much the "i love mind games" bio suggests borderline personality disorder. It has chronic feelings of emptiness ("i have no passions or goals in life."), instability in interpersonal relationships ("i love mind games, i love drama, i love fake people.", "i would not hesitate to betray any of my loved ones at any moment."), negative self-image ("[...] really no reason for anyone to be around me."), and so on.
If you are dating and this bio doesn't make your HUD light up bright red, you are in danger. Read up on personality disorders so you can make more informed decisions about people you are getting involved with.
2I like to think of these types of power as “keyholder” power.
If you are looking for a theory of this, it sounds like capability-based security. The author may already know, but I thought I'd point it out. "Capabilities" are digital keys that can be shared but not forged. (Of course, by reductionism, nothing is truly unforgeable in physical reality except maybe some quantum-cryptography magic.)
Other comments have addressed your comparison of bee to human suffering, so I would like to set it aside and comment on "don't eat honey" as a call to action. I think people who eat honey (except for near-vegans who were already close to giving it up) are not likely to be persuaded to stop. However, similar to meat-eaters who want to reduce animal suffering caused by the meat industry, they can probably be persuaded to buy honey harvested from bees kept in more suitable[1] conditions. For those people, you could advocate for a "free-range" type of informal standard for honey that means the bees were kept outside in warmer hives, etc. Outdoor vs. indoor is a particularly easy Schelling point. Even with the kind of cheating the "free-range" label has been subject to, it seems like it would incentivize beekeeping practices that are better for the bees.
This can mean "more natural" in the sense of "the way bees are adapted to live in nature" but not necessarily "more natural" in the sense of using natural materials and pre-modern practices. The article "To save honey bees we need to design them new hives" linked in the post notes: "We already know that simply building hives from polystyrene instead of wood can significantly increase the survival rate and honey yield of the bees." (Link in the original.) ↩︎
At the edge of my vision, a wiggling spoon reflected the light in a particular way. And for a split second my brain told me “it’s probably an insect”. I immediately looked closer and understood that it was a wiggling spoon. While it hasn’t happened since, it changed my intuition about hallucinations.
This matches my own experience with sleep deprivation in principle. When I have been severely sleep-deprived (sober; I don't drink and don't use drugs), my brain has started overreacting to motion. Something moving slightly in my peripheral vision caught my attention as if it were moving dramatically. This even happened with stationary objects that appeared to move as I shifted position. I have experienced about a dozen such false positives in my life and interpreted the motion as an insect only a couple of times. Most times it didn't seem like anything in particular, just movement that demanded attention. However, "insect" seems an obvious interpretation when you suddenly notice small rapid motion in your peripheral vision. ("Suddenly" and "rapid" because your motion detection is exaggerated.) In reality, it was things like wind gently flapping a curtain.
However, this is not the only way people can hallucinate insects. There is another where they seem to see them clearly. Here is Wikipedia on delirium tremens:
Other common symptoms include intense perceptual disturbance such as visions or feelings of insects, snakes, or rats. These may be hallucinations or illusions related to the environment, e.g., patterns on the wallpaper or in the peripheral vision that the patient falsely perceives as a resemblance to the morphology of an insect, and are also associated with tactile hallucinations such as sensations of something crawling on the subject—a phenomenon known as formication. Delirium tremens usually includes feelings of "impending doom". Anxiety and expecting imminent death are common DT symptoms.
From this and a few articles I have read over the years, I get a sense that when people are suffering from delirium tremens, they see small creatures of different types distinctly and vividly. So you can probably say there are "insect hallucinations" and "Huh? Is that motion an insect?" hallucinations.
Why don’t rationalists win more?
The following list is based on a presentation I gave at a Slate Star Codex meetup in 2018. It is mirrored from a page on my site, where I occasionally add new "see also" links.
Possible factors
Sources
See also