Hey
Could you dive into the strategic approach challenges you see with quadratic voting a bit further? The way I see it, a decentralised blockchain which rewards consensus can ensure honesty using simple game-theoretic principles. Quadratic voting is especially useful in reputation scoring, where both the magnitude and the diversity of the votes are important to ensure robustness.
More specifically, I'm referring to the quadratic voting method proposed in the Capital Restricted Liberal Radicalism paper. I'm assuming you're referring to the sam...
the "divergence between capabilities and impacts' we observe, with specific reference to AI2027 predictions for example, seems to be that AI has turned out to be better aligned than we expected. Even with the rise of ~superhuman coder level AI, we've seen virtually no ill effects so far (a small uptick in crypto and ransomware attacks aside).
I think progress in alignment research has not been adequately used to update your priors on RSI being most likely misaligned.