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Dominik Hajduk | České priority

Message

Forecasting as a tool for teaching the general public to make better judgements?

Tl;dr: We are wondering whether there might be more value in forecasting as a popularized educational activity than seems to be the consensus. Looking for explicit opinions and feedback. We are a team working on popularizing evidence- and rationality-based approaches in the Czech Republic, including forecasting. When considering and consulting...

May 9, 2023•3

Dominik Hajduk | České priority

Dominik Hajduk | České priority — LessWrong

Dominik Hajduk | České priority

Message

Forecasting as a tool for teaching the general public to make better judgements?

May 9, 2023•3

Dominik Hajduk | České priority

Forecasting as a tool for teaching the general public to make better judgements?

Dominik Hajduk | České priority

Tl;dr: We are wondering whether there might be more value in forecasting as a popularized educational activity than seems to be the consensus. Looking for explicit opinions and feedback.

We are a team working on popularizing evidence- and rationality-based approaches in the Czech Republic, including forecasting. When considering and consulting our previous and upcoming projects, we came to realize that there seems to be too little attention paid to forecasting as a skill-building exercise.

In this sense, we agree with David Althaus and kokotajlod’s older post regarding the mainstreaming of forecasting. While it’s not society’s biggest issue, we identify especially with the second of their points, which can be expanded as follows:

Forecasting builds an explicit

... (read 876 more words →)