let me tell you my story, a story you have probably heard some version of already a little kid shows great promise at school, they understand subjects very quickly and answers all of the teachers questions, they are told by their parents, teachers and some friends that they are "smart"...
TLDR: Lesswrong should have it's own private prediction market so we can test just how well Lesswrongers stack up against the rest of the world which would build up the sites credibility, test and improve our arts of rationality and help address the burnout and disillusionment plaguing the rationalist movement....
As a very general argument, we might expect HIA that targets IQ or IQ-like traits specifically to be bad because it's imbalanced. Specifically, it makes people who are more capable but not necessarily wiser, to the extent that wisdom is orthogonal to IQ. Since we're in a regime where the unwise competent pursuit of technology is an existential risk, this implies HIA would be bad.
this, in my opinion is the strongest argument against HIA
IQ test are the most widely used intelligence measurement tool and would likely be used as a target for the first widely available forms of HIA
mass producing tech wizards with wis 10 and int 20 is a technoptimists wet... (read more)
thanks for the help, i had suspicions that i had some sort of neurological disorder and tailored my current attempts at treating my burnout accordingly
my main hypothesis is that i have both ADHD and autism since i have most of the symptoms
here are some of the interventions that i tried in case someone in a similar position might read this comment and find some thing useful:-
1_replacing my rooms led lights with incandescent light and using a warm light filter on all my devices
2_using earplug to have easier time sleeping and focus when studying
3_trying to avoid attending college classes when possible (i live far away from college and suffer from motion sickness and... (read 359 more words →)
Our society is in denial about intelligence. But it also assumes that the intelligent children are smart enough to figure out life entirely on their own, and even overcome ADHD and autism on their own, if necessary.
Yeah i think raw intellect alone can't get you very far if you have a bunch of other disfuncitons added on top
Most burned out gift individuals seem to fall into the "smart enough to know you could do more with your life" but not "smart enough to work things out on your own"
And with neurological disorders being more common amongst the gifted the bar for "working things out on your own" is much higher then normal
every peer i knew from highschool who i considered smarter then average has either burned out in college or managed to get through by lowering their expectations and just doing what regular people do but better which is quite disheartening
let me tell you my story, a story you have probably heard some version of already
a little kid shows great promise at school, they understand subjects very quickly and answers all of the teachers questions, they are told by their parents, teachers and some friends that they are "smart" and "special"
the kid internalizes those words believing themselves to be "gifted" and above mere mortals, which along side their natural inclination towards learning drives them to reading about sciency stuff, initially to boost their image as the "smart kid" but over time the kid starts to actually enjoy those things and it becomes an obsession of theirs
the kid starts having dreams about building... (read 698 more words →)
I still don't see this hypothesis going anywhere
The "rise" in autism's prevalence is far more easily explain by a mix of better diagnosis and a more tolerant attitude towards autistic individuals allowing them to reproduce, especially when you consider that the rates of autism don't differ all that much between the developed and the developing world
Plus the primary candidate mechanism for autisms symptoms is a lack of synaptic pruning not the lack of a particular nutrient
I don't think so
Autism has a very strong genetic component to it, vaccines don't have any effect over heredity
As for CFD it seems to be a genetic condition as well, a result of a mutation in the FOLR 1 gene and it is incredibly rare it can't explain any sizable fraction of autisms prevalence
At best you could hypothesize that CFD is more prevalent then originally thought and due to similarities in the symptoms some individuals with CFD are accidentally diagnosed witb Autism instead but i don't see how vaccines have anything to do with this
I am not entirely sure this is true but even if it was, is the media attention of publishing a book through standards publishers worth putting the authors motives in question?
This isn't just another novel or self help book, this is a book written with the explicit purpose of stopping the Apocalypse, trying to make money out of it makes no sense in context (unless all the money goes into charity or something like that)
can someone please explain to me why "if anyone builds it, everyone dies" is not a free eBook/blog post?
like seriously if someone told me there is a detailed case for a possible imminent existential risk with possible solutions included but i had to pay to see it, i would have dismissed it as another fearmongering doomsday grift.
if you are really sincere about an extinction level risks why hide your arguments behind a paywall? why not make it free so as many people can see it as possible?
the very fact that this book has a price tag on it in an age where publishing an eBook is practically free puts the authors motives in question.
Someone else could probably explain this better then me but i will give it a try.
First off the paperclip maximizer isn't about how easy it is to give a hypothetical super intelligent a goal that you might regret later and not be able to change.
It is about the fact that almsot every easily specified goal you can give an AI would result in misalignment.
The "paperclip" part in paperclip maximizer is just a placeholder, it could have been ”diamonds" or "digits of Pi" or "seconds of runtime" and the end result is the same.
Second, one of the expected properties of a hypothetical super intelligence is having robust goals, as in it doesn't change... (read more)
this deserves way more attention.
a big problem about AI safety advocacy is that we aren't reaching enough people fast enough, this problem doesn't have the same familiarity amongst the public as climate change or even factory farming and we don't have people running around in the streets preaching about the upcoming AI apocalypse, most lesswrongers can't even come up with a quick 5min sales pitch for lay people even if their live literally depended on it.
this might just be the best advocacy tool i have seen so far, if only we can get it to go viral it might just make the difference.
edit:
i take this part back
... (read more)most lesswrongers can't even come up
for the former lurkers on this site, what was your first post about? how long did it take you to make it (or just muster the will to try)? and how well did it do?
and for current lurkers, are you planning to participate or are you fine with simply observing? if so why?
TLDR: Lesswrong should have it's own private prediction market so we can test just how well Lesswrongers stack up against the rest of the world which would build up the sites credibility, test and improve our arts of rationality and help address the burnout and disillusionment plaguing the rationalist movement.
a common question amongst rationalists especially on lesswrong is "why aren't rationalists winning?" or more generally "why are we not seeing clear benefits of rationality in real life?",this question has been discussed a lot on this site and has probably led many to become disillusioned with Lesswrong or the rationality movement all together.
rationalist seem to be suffering for the same problem as psychologists... (read 517 more words →)
if we assume that the AIs are willing to support our hedonistic lifestyle despite us having zero bargaining power since we are completely unnecessary for the AIs continued existence plus an active drain on it's resources
then yeah this culture style utopia is probably the default outcome (though i don't see how video generation is going to help here, if AI is making the videos then it has already taken your job)
but let's dream about this after we figure out how to avoid rogue AIs and cyberpunk dystopias cause those are WAY more likely outcomes right now