Epistemic Status: High Confidence, 80%. I've been thinking about this for months, and I'm just going to say it: OpenAI is not going to build AGI. Not "probably won't." Not "faces challenges." They structurally cannot do it. And honestly? Watching Sam Altman talk about superintelligence while his company burns $12...
*Epistemic Status: High confidence in the financial analysis, moderate confidence in the technical thesis, acknowledging genuine uncertainty about what "AGI" even means. This is a strong claim and I'm making it knowing I could be wrong.* ## The Thesis OpenAI will not build artificial general intelligence. They will not be...
There are a lot of problems with our current world that are larger than what smart policies or public awareness campaigns could solve on their own: * The Loneliness Epidemic - both sexes are affected by this, contrary to popular online narratives. It is the result of a combination of...