Recently, I have been trying to reason why I belive what I belive (regarding AGI). However, it appears to me that there is not enough discussion around the arguments against AGI (more specifically AGI skeptisim). This might be of benefit, especially given that
Would this be because the arguments are either too weak or the Ai Safety is biased (understandably) towards imminent AGI?
This might also come out as a reaction from the recent advancements (such as o3) and the alarmant short timelines (less than 3 years). I want to understand the other sides points as well.
Based on what I found on the internet, the main arguments are roughly the following (not exact, given... (read more)