Good analysis, close to my calculations of 0.04% - 0.17%(from Iceland data) averaging around 0.1% which is almost perfectly in line with seasonal flu. I actually suspect that coronavirus will in the long run(after a vaccine and treatments/medication) actually be a lot closer to swine flu(0.03%), implying that seasonal flu might be quite a bit worse than Cov2 NOT the other way round as reported thus far by the media. The only mitigating factor I can think of is the shorter incubation period for swine flu which might mean that Cov2 has a little more time to get around the population asymptomatically thus increasing it's transmissibility or R_0.
Good analysis, close to my calculations of 0.04% - 0.17%(from Iceland data) averaging around 0.1% which is almost perfectly in line with seasonal flu. I actually suspect that coronavirus will in the long run(after a vaccine and treatments/medication) actually be a lot closer to swine flu(0.03%), implying that seasonal flu might be quite a bit worse than Cov2 NOT the other way round as reported thus far by the media. The only mitigating factor I can think of is the shorter incubation period for swine flu which might mean that Cov2 has a little more time to get around the population asymptomatically thus increasing it's transmissibility or R_0.
I also did a crude... (read more)