ersatz

Won't the rogue agents just use it as data storage space anyway?

This is conditional on the probability of the ingredients of life turning into life not being extremely low.

But that is precisely the whole point of the argument: if it had indeed been extremely unlikely, then we would expect to be living in a much older universe, one that would have had much more time to meet the necessary conditions!

You should probably use Google Neural2 voices which are far better.

I just bought a copy. Thank you very much for writing this book Tobias.

An interesting section in the appendices, a criticism of Ajeya Cotra’s “Forecasting Transformative AI with Biological Anchors”:

If you do a sensitivity analysis on the most important variable (how much Moore's law will improve FLOPS/$), the output behavior doesn't make any sense, e.g., Moore's law running out of steam after "conventional" improvements give us a 144x improvement would give us a 34% chance of transformative AI (TAI) by 2100, a 144*6x increase gives a 52% chance, and a 144*600x increase gives a 66% chance (and with the predicted 60000x improve

Just pasting the link in the rich text editor but I don’t know the Markdown syntax sorry.

I think so, by definition, nothing can be worse than that.