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The point of the post is not that we shouldn't be doing everything we can to stop a potential "epidemic". It's that we should have a plan for what to do when an "epidemic" happens anyways and there is enormous amounts of political capital suddenly available to get things done.

The point is that when or if that fire hose ever opens we should have a plan to point it at the fire because we won't have time to aim. We could very easily point the fire house in the wrong direction as has occurred often in history.

Hypomania might be a little too far. For me I see it as a way of accessing ideas in a way that my standard thought processes cannot build to. Most of my thinking can be thought of as hill climbing, taking whatever thing I want and trying to go in the direction that seems the steepest towards what I want. Of course that kind of thinking is limited by local maximums. Visioning is your chance to teleport your self all over the mountain range, go in random directions, and see if you stumble across any higher peaks. In doing so you will find yourself mounting p... (read more)

You could ask a model to think about golden gate while answering a question about arithmetic and it appears that an LLM will do some version of that despite never outputting a token about the golden gate. That's a step beyond GGC and proves that that concepts like golden gate are not just present but they can be acted upon internally and used to reason during the forward pass without ever using that concept to directly influence the output which is good evidence for an internal workspace.

This is an interesting take because my gut reaction is in the opposite direction. The pressure to be a good spouse is lower than ever before in my opinion which makes it easier to get divorced than ever before.

In the days of yore a divorce would:

1. Get you shunned from your church.
2. Get you shunned from your community.
3. Financially maroon you as wives had no financial independence. IE no job experience, no personal property, and in some states you couldn't even do basic things like open bank accounts without a husband or male co-signer.
4. Might not even be possible

This can be taken further and even weaponized by those actually at fault. Disempower your service employees so much that they can't accomplish anything coupled with having no ability to escalate issues and suddenly there is no recourse to fix problems and your only option is to harass a powerless call center employee until you wasted enough of your time to justify giving up on the endeavor.

"I'm sorry, I don't have the ability to issue a refund for these tickets that were canceled"

"Well that's unacceptable and makes me very angry."

"Sir, please don't yell at me. It's not up to me."

I've seen the Doom vs Boom GDP forecast a few times and every time I have to ask... Would GDP per capita not go asymptotically up in the extinction case? The numerator would increase as AI generates more domestic product but the denominator would decrease as we are extincified. So the "singularity: extinction" line should match and then exceed the "singularity: benign" line before becoming undefined.

Reminds me of the  - "No CGI" is actually Invisible CGI - video series from a few years ago. Linked below. At this point, a substantial percentage of writing is at least aided by LLMs so the only LLM writing you notice is just the bad writing. I don't fully buy this but I think it explains a least a portion of the discourse.

The rub is that influencers are the ones influencing elections, policy, and discourse right now. Whereas "professionals" have reach an all time level of distrust. Influencers vs professionals is indeed the problem of our time, however I think we've tried the solution you've proposed countless times and have already failed. One just has to look at how messaging about climate change, vaccines, economics, and more turned out. To me, you have described the way the world should work but not the way that it is currently working.

The solution isn't going to be act... (read more)