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Meetup : Mountain View: More on Reinforcement

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Meetup : Mountain View: Reinforcement

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Meetup : Mountain View: Board Game Night

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Meetup : Mountain View: Cure Light Aversions

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Meetup : Mountain View: Invoking Curiosity

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Meetup : South Bay Meetup: Be Specific

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Meetup : Mountain View: Rough Numbers

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Meetup : Madison: Prospect Theory

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Meetup : Madison: Generating More Ideas

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Meetup : Madison: Reading Group, Seeing with Fresh Eyes

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Recent Comments

I've been collecting other analogues of open mode vs. closed mode. I have a strong suspicion that they're all facets of the same underlying mental stance.

* In brainstorming, generating vs. filtering seem to be open and closed, respectively. * In writing, drafting vs. editing. * [The believing game...(read more)

I also second this mistake.

Census'd! And upvoted! But an upvote isn't really quite strong enough to demonstrate my appreciation for this work. Thank you.

Seconded. This seemed outrageous and unthinkable to me before I was in grad school; now that I've been to grad school, I recognize it as obviously true.

> Work your way up to emailing / calling them, but an introduction from a professor that likes you will go far.

Well-known professors get cold-em...(read more)

Nope, just terrible editing. :j Thanks.

I'd actually argue that Zendo is simpler than Clue, just less familiar. Specifically, the gameplay mechanics themselves are about as simple as they can be, while still supporting the idea of "be a game of induction".

> Is there anywhere it can be played online?

Actually, forums work out pretty wel...(read more)

[Zendo](http://www.koryheath.com/zendo/) is often described as "Science: The Game." (More discussion [here](http://lesswrong.com/lw/iw/positive_bias_look_into_the_dark/2kzd))

Lots of biases come up. You quickly learn to avoid positive bias if you play this often. You start to deal with confirmation...(read more)

Problem lacks specification: ought we assume that Omega also predicted TNL's number? Or was that random both to me, Omega-past, and TNL? Omega predicting correctly in 99.9% of previous cases doesn't determine this.

(eta: Ah, was answered on the Facebook thread; Omega predicted the lottery number. H...(read more)

Yes, one should vigorously enact risky, positive-expectation plans. I think that's clear to this audience.

How do you vigorously enact risky plans while acknowledging their uncertainty? This is psychologically much more difficult.

Things described around LW as productivity hacks will help. But th...(read more)

It struck me last night that, if you really wanted to get good predictions on what will happen in the rest of the story, you can just reread the whole thing, look for any potential plot devices that haven't already been triggered in some central way, and figure out how those things might be used. Th...(read more)