I believe that we're going to see heavy political and social instability over the next 5 years, how do I maximize my EV in light of this? Primarily I'm thinking about financial investments.
Some things I was thinking about: Gold in GDX, Cybersecurity in HACK, Options income in JEPI, Defense/Aerospace in ITA
Yeah that's one of the comments that inspired me to write mine.
As to your friends not being rationalists- I'm not trying to say that there's something to do with rationality that's causing psychosis. The ideology is not the movement, the social graph is more important than the ideas.
I agree with you that my comment at the end was excessively combative.
If you just thought of a reason for B, and you wanted to add that, that's one thing, but my impression is that mako is thinking of reasons for B, and that's why there's a list.
It's directed thinking. An insight that favors one side is one thing, but this is directed thinking.
That can still be productive in a conversation, but it is a basic and bad bias.
It's kind of disturbing to me that so many people in LW and LW-adjacent talk so casually about psychosis, and like everyone has a friend who's been psychotic. Nobody in my personal life has experienced psychosis or psychotic symptoms, but it seems like everyone in this space knows someone who has. Maybe it's all the drugs?
What's even the point of that? Did Vassar do a lot of that type of thing?
Which are these workshop recordings you're talking about?
Super curious- are you willing to give a sentence or two on the take here?
No. Because "going off the rails" often involves doing things that are observably irrational even by your own worldview. Like killing your parents and your landlord.
You can say: "this might make sense from their worldview! (soy)"
And the obvious response is: Yes. Because they're crazy. Because they went off the rails.
You can also say: "But we'll never know! Who can know? Nobody knows! Truth is subjective blargh"
And the again obvious response is: Yes, but we can observe patterns. And if you can't update on this evidence and use some basic sense when this sort of thing repeats, you are not thinking clearly.
My interpretation is that "let me in" represents Jun's desire for intimacy, and Maya is defending against that intimacy and the attendant fear of being judged with a simulation fantasy. It's really cool how this is represented so directly with her reinterpretation of the phrase, it really paints the picture so perfectly.
There's also something really compelling about the clash of the mundane and the supernatural in such a way. It reminds me some of Your Book Review: Real Raw News.
I notice that because the main character believes in simulation theory, I am led to expect that this actually could be true for her universe, which is a cool way to get inside her mind.
I thought it was great- I could see it as a black mirror episode or similar.