George Robinson

We have developed some relatively general methods for mechanistic estimation competitive with sampling by studying problems that are expressible as expectations of random products. This includes several different estimation problems, such as random halfspace intersections, random #3-SAT and random permanents. In this post, we will give a high-level introduction to...

In 2025, the Alignment Research Center (ARC) has been making conceptual and theoretical progress at the fastest pace that I (Eric) have seen since I first interned in 2022. Most of this progress has come about because of a re-orientation around a more specific goal: outperforming random sampling when it...