Gives Bad Advice

I suppose part of the strategy in approaching folks with this is to know when/what to hold back, especially an initial cold call.

Thank you again for your work.  Thank you 100x.

What is the highest probability of extinction through which a wise man would be willing to proceed?  As i see it, any probability greater than 1:10,000 in 100 years is absurd. Maybe 100,000 is more like it.  One in a million would be reasonable, from the perspective of Pascale's Wager.  (Not accounting for potential benefit on the upside.)

I'm interested in the numbers other folks would be willing to tolerate.

I teach freshman Rhetoric & Writing at uni.  We focus on persuasion.  May i use this essay as an assigned reading?  It works well because it articulates a fine-grained persuasive strategy in a context that the students are probably going to care about. 

I am overhauling my whole curriculum over this summer to make it immediately relevant to students' understanding and navigation of the world they will be graduating into in four years.

Thanks for a great article.  I am so frustrated and dumbfounded by our (the U.S.A.'s) lack... (read more)