Hans Niemand — LessWrong

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Replying toIs 90% of code at Anthropic being written by AIs?

Is 90% of code at Anthropic being written by AIs?

You've probably already seen this, but for others reading this post: Anthropic now seems to have put out some more official numbers on this: https://www.anthropic.com/research/how-ai-is-transforming-work-at-anthropic

It seems to mostly validate your read on the situation. They did internal surveys, qualitative interviews, and some analysis of Claude Code transcripts. Here is their "key takeaways" from the survey section:

Survey data

Anthropic engineers and researchers use Claude most often for fixing code errors and learning about the codebase. Debugging and code understanding are the most common uses (Figure 1).
People report increasing Claude usage and productivity gains. Employees self-report using Claude in 60% of their work and achieving a 50% productivity boost, a 2-3x increase from this time

Hans Niemand11d

0th Person and 1st Person Logic

This seems closely related to John Perry's "Problem of the essential indexical" (although it's been like ten years since I read it): https://dl.booksee.org/foreignfiction/581000/4897fc2fba1f8af4ea7db3d9654bbbb3.pdf/_as/%255Bperry_john%255D_the_problem_of_the_essential_indexica%28booksee.org%29.pdf

Basically, he argues that there are certain "locating beliefs" (things like "I am John Perry", "Now is noon," "Here is the trail that leads out of the woods") that are logically ineliminable. No matter how you try, you need an indexical in there somewhere to capture them. In your terms, a 0th-person logic could never incorporate these types of beliefs.

Replying toA Timing Problem for Instrumental Convergence

Hans Niemand3mo

A Timing Problem for Instrumental Convergence

I have a short post critiquing your argument here. Here's the key part:

I’ll borrow and slightly simplify one of their own examples. Suppose Marian has the goal to paint a certain wall blue. It will take her two days to do so. But, if she doesn’t press a “goal preserve” button on the first day, she will lose her “paint-the-wall-blue” goal, and so she’ll never finish painting it blue (and she knows this).

Now, suppose Marian never presses the “goal preserve” button. According to the authors, there is no time at which Marian is instrumentally irrational. On Day 1, she has her paint-the-wall-blue goal (which we can call B for short), and takes... (read 545 more words →)