"Until quite recently, I thought it was going to be like 20 to 50 years before we have general purpose AI. And now I think it may be 20 years or less," Hinton predicted. Asked specifically the chances of AI "wiping out humanity," Hinton said, "I think it's not inconceivable. That's all I'll say."
2-minute video, showing how some policy makers have been responding to ChatGPT and other recent AI progress. Worth watching.
Policymakers Responding to AI
Not really aware of US policymakers who have discussed existential risks from AI, but some policymakers have taken note recent AI progress, and some are alarmed. The video from Fox linked above actually gives a pretty good overview, but here are a couple examples.
“What we need is a dedicated agency to regulate A.I. An agency is nimbler than the legislative process, is staffed with experts and can reverse its decisions if it makes an error. Creating such an agency will be a difficult and huge undertaking because A.I. is complicated and still not well understood.”
"ChatGPT taught itself to do advanced chemistry. It wasn't built into the model. Nobody programmed it to learn complicated chemistry. It decided to teach itself, then made its knowledge available to anyone who asked. Something is coming. We aren't ready."
responding to many criticizing the above claim as incorrect or overblown: "I get it - it's easy and fun to terminology shame policymakers on tech. But I'm pretty sure I have the premise right: The consequences of so many human functions being outsourced to AI is potentially disastrous, and we aren't having a functional conversation about this."
Thanks for this collection! A few other examples.
Some recent stories from FOX News:
Artificial intelligence 'godfather' on AI possibly wiping out humanity: ‘It's not inconceivable’ (FOX News)
Lawmakers consider regulations on artificial intelligence (FOX News)
Policymakers Responding to AI
Not really aware of US policymakers who have discussed existential risks from AI, but some policymakers have taken note recent AI progress, and some are alarmed. The video from Fox linked above actually gives a pretty good overview, but here are a couple examples.
Representative Ted Lieu (D-CA) AI Needs To Be Regulated (NYT Op-Ed).
Senator Chris Murphy (D-CN) tweeting a bit about AI earlier today.