I think the Allais argument against Independence doesn't really work.[...] But $0-with-extra-disappointment is a different outcome to $0, so those preferences don't violate Independence!
I strongly agree, and I think that it's worth emphasizing that people optimize (partially) for their own emotions, and choices which seem irrational when this consideration is neglected can be rational when it is taken into account.
With that being said, there's still a chance that an Allais-like argument could work.
Let's imagine a different hypothetical choice:
...In situatio
Why?
That's a short question with a long answer. For brevity, we can just say that I'd prefer that money go to businesses which support a traditional retail model, which often include locally-owned small businesses, which often face competition within their niche, rather than supporting a company which isn't that - because this is (slightly) better for humankind in the long run.
If you disagree . . . well, the request still stands as a request.
Standard p100 filters should be sold anywhere these masks are, so I doubt that would be needed.
It seems that y...
That 3M mask looks to be the same make and model as the one that I use for woodworking, which came from a local hardware store. Please support your local hardware store over Jeff Bezos if you can! (You might still need to order the right kind of filters online.)
This would have persuaded me to get a mask if I didn't already own one, and has persuaded me that I should get appropriate filters.
It would be easy to be nerd-sniped into listing all of the advantages and disadvantages of owning a mask and filters, but a major disadvantage that you didn't cons...
I think that representation is best explained as both correspondence and the outcome of optimization - specifically, representation is some sort of correspondence (which can be loose) that is caused by some sort of optimization process.
I'll speak primarily in defense of correspondence since I think that is where we disagree.
"All models are wrong, but some are useful" is a common aphorism in statistics, and I think it is helpful here too. You seem to treat mistaken representations as a separate sort of representation. However, even an ordinarily...
Upvoted for the addition to our collective and to my personal vocabulary. I've encountered a small number of people who fit this pattern (different context; almost certainly nobody you know) and it's helpful to have a memorable cognitive handle for it.
This post feels like it may have been written in response to some specific interpersonal drama. If it was, then I'd like to make it clear that I have absolutely no idea what it was and therefore no opinion on it. I just think this is a useful concept in general.
I do have one minor nitpick:
......and t
I can see a problem with the way that I phrased the question here. I wanted an example of something that a person would value and want to make happen, but which they might plausibly not find out about. I wasn't imagining a specific charity, but I was thinking of something linear in terms of good done per money donated, which would be something large that's already adequately funded but not saturated. Yet one could imagine a specific charity when answering the question, and the conditions of that chari... (read more)