I didn't expect or understand the extreme American reaction, let alone any worldwide reaction, to what seemed to me like just another terrorist attack, largely predictable and differing only in scale from what had happened before.
Scale is important
If you're implying that this is what's happening with trans women in female sports, then this isn't accurate. There is no evidence showing that trans women outperform cisgender women by any significant margin. Based on https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10641525/ trans women get well within the expected ranges for cis women within around 3-4 years. Any remaining difference is far, far below the difference between a 150 and 250 pound boxer. (And, given how few trans women there are, if those few are in the upper 50% percentile (Which is far from universal for all trans people) what actual difference does it make? Also consider how many people take this as an excuse to harass and harm trans people outside of sports, and how the NCAA has a total of what, less than ten? trans women, total)
The model seems very, very benchmaxxed. Third party testing on unconventional or private benchmarks ends up placing even the largest gpt-oss below o4-mini, below the largest Qwen releases, and often it ends up below even the newer 30B~ Qwens in a few situations. It isn't super capable to begin with, and the frankly absurd rate at which this model hallucinates kills what little use it might have with tool use. I think this model poses next to zero risk because it just isn't very capable.
That's pretty much it! If everyone in the world was set to die four minutes after I died, and this was just an immutable fact of the universe, then that would be super unfortunate, but oh well, I can't do anything about it, so I shouldn't really care that much. In the situation in which I more directly cause/choose, not only have I cut my and everyone else's lives short to just a year, I also am directly responsible, and could have chosen to just not do that!
As worthless as you think it is, it's quite literally the thing that is happening in the real world. Theory is cool and all but reality is the way it is.
Also, yeah, people not being able to afford to support their kids is obvious. It's literally happening. I know this site leans heavily middle-upper/upper class SF/CA, but the majority of (the US) lives paycheck to paycheck and cannot support a child without serious compromised to QOL, both for themselves and the child.
The only thing that will raise fertility rates is to make it more affordable to have a child. Most people are simply too poor to both have a child and ensure that it is consistently as happy or happier than they were as a child. People in developed countries do not want to have children who they know will have poor childhoods from not being able to afford things they need, such as school, rent in a place with a room for them, childcare while working (as it is very difficult to survive on just a single person's income, practically impossible for 3!!!! people to do so) and other necessities.
The problem isn't culture (unless you think blindly producing children who will suffer is a good thing) or status or any of these made up problems, people literally just cannot afford to start families.
Interestingly, the LLMs were not biased in the original evaluation setting, but became biased (up to 12% differences in interview rates) when we added realistic details like company names (Meta, Palantir, General Motors), locations, or culture descriptions from public careers pages.
This is probably because, from a simulators prospective, the model expects a resume screening AI from these companies to be biased. In the generic setting, the model has no precedent so the HHH persona's general neutrality is 'more active'.
This isn't meant to be interpreted as a call to violence in the slightest.... But, why haven't there been more 'terroristic' actions towards firms developing AI systems? Why haven't any datacenters been firebombed or anti-regulation proponents been shot on the street? I mean if this is a "We literally all die if this goes poorly, possibly if it happens at all." The cost of a few human lives, or jail time/death penalty/torture for the perpetrator seems like a bargain for getting more time/raising significant awareness/etc
Is qualia (it's existence or not, how and why it happens) not the exact thing the hard problem is about? If you're ignoring the hard problem or dismiss it you also doubt the existence of qualia.
I don't understand how illusionists can make the claims they do (and a quick ramble about successionists).
The main point for this being that I am experiencing qualia right now and ultimately it's the only thing I can know for certain. I know that me saying "I experience qualia and this is the only true fact I can prove form certain about the universe" isn't verifiable from the outside, but certainly other people experience the exact same thing? Are illusionists, and people who claim qualia doesn't exist in general P-Zombies?
As for successionists, and honestly utilitarians in general, but only when they apply it to situations which result in their own deaths, I cannot... (read more)
There are tons of groups with significant motivation to publish just about anything detrimental to transgender people, so yes, it would've been published.
Transgender people, total, between both transmasc and transfem individuals, make up around 0.5% of the population of the US. Hardly abundant. And again, the number of trans people in high level sports is in the double digit numbers.
https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/transgender-population-by-state