Posts

Sorted by New

Wiki Contributions

Comments

Covid 5/5/22: A Lack of Care

Anecdote:

I took Paxlovid within minutes of my first positive test (my wife was highly symptomatic the day prior, so I fibbed a positive test to get the prescription early). It seemed to work wonderfully - I had virtually no fever and only minor congestion symptoms while everyone else in my family (including my wife who took Paxlovid about 24 hours after her symptoms started) suffered from high fevers, congestion, and in once case a loss of smell. Everyone was mostly recovered in a week while I was unscathed. However, almost exactly a week later, all the symptoms came full-force: fever, horrible congestion, and a loss of smell; even the test itself was a strong positive line which had not been the case before. Paxlovid seemed in my case not to 'cure' Covid but instead to merely delay the symptoms by a week. I've heard that "rebound" Covid cases can happen with Paxlovid and so maybe it was just bad luck for me, but it has definitely been frustrating.

Convince me that humanity is as doomed by AGI as Yudkowsky et al., seems to believe

Because in what way are humans anything other than an impedance toward maximizing its reward functions? At worst, they pose a risk of restricting its reward increase by changing the reward, changing its capabilities, or destroying it outright. At best, they are physically restraining easily applicable resources toward maximizing its goals. Humans are variable no more valuable than the redundant bits it casts aside on the path of maximum efficiency and reward, if not properly aligned.

Google's new 540 billion parameter language model

Would adding some human-generated text of 'inner monologuing' to the dataset be a good way to do that, or is that already done? Obviously it's done insofar as a sufficiently vast and diverse dataset invariably includes examples, but I mean moreso a dedicated dataset focused on self reasoning.

Upon finishing the previous sentence I decided that maybe that's not such a good idea.

Kosher Hot Dogs

I've followed the same mindset where I assume that a kosher hot dog is "cleaner" (and have generally leaned toward Hebrew National over other brands).

Despite my other comment I'm eager to and definitely will check our your podcast.

"but perhaps the aliens are like human environmentalists who like to keep everything in its natural state."

This is the kind of argument that makes me most believe there are no aliens. Like humans, there may be good environmentalists that work to keep worlds and cultures as untouched as possible. But that also represents a very small portion of human impact. No portion of our planet is untouched by humans, including those explicitly set to avoid. And every environmentally-conscious nature park or otherwise is teeming with those who visit and act on it whether inside or outside of set boundaries. Unless this presumed alien culture is so effectively and unreasonably authoritarian that none but the most exclusive are permitted and capable of visitation, I can't imagine there being aliens here and it not being obvious due not to military sightings and poor camera captures but from almost everyone witnessing it with their own eyes on a frequent basis.

Covid 8/26: Full Vaccine Approval

Thanks for the vocabulary lesson. I had just heard 'zero scape' and assumed it was a trendy term for 'landscaping that requires zero water'. 

Covid 8/26: Full Vaccine Approval

You let lawns die, you get mud. Mud gets shifted to the road, where it dries and becomes sand and dust. Sand and dust get lifted by cars and cover everything. If you want to see this in action - visit St Petersburg in Russia, where they parked on all of their lawns and killed them, and now everything is covered in 1/8" of sand. 

Once your lawn is dead, it takes much more water to rebuild than it would take to maintain. 

 

Zero-scaping Xeriscaping is a thing - developing a lawn with succulents, packed rocks, artificial turf, etc. such that it's solidly developed yet requires little or no water. It's increasingly popular (in large part due to water use regulations) in California.

Covid 5/20: The Great Unmasking

I asked this last week: Where's the actual good data on children and health risks, transmission rates, etc.? The actual studies on that seem conspicuously absent. I'm not necessarily a skeptic, but if you're going to try to convince people that those regulations are a waste of time then I'd like to be able to provide the evidence of why.

Covid 5/6: Vaccine Patent Suspension

Yeah, this is the problem I'm having with data on children - the simple cases/hospitalizations/deaths numbers are obviously good, but I'm struggling to find a robust study that more conclusively assures the risk rate in the younger age range. It's easy to otherwise dismiss it as a simple matter of most kids being shut in over the past year versus the necessary adult workforce.

Load More