With regards to the political paths you outline, I do think there are significantly more options and more reasons to be hopeful (and spread bets more broadly than you outline):
1. The California governor already has emergency powers, so -- on short timelines -- being prepared for this seems very important and is different from legislative or standard executive action. In an emergency where people at the labs are loudly worrying about imminent RSI, this might be a realistic path towards safety.
2. Even if we don't have a lot of FT... (read more)
Thank you for the great post!
With regards to the political paths you outline, I do think there are significantly more options and more reasons to be hopeful (and spread bets more broadly than you outline):
1. The California governor already has emergency powers, so -- on short timelines -- being prepared for this seems very important and is different from legislative or standard executive action. In an emergency where people at the labs are loudly worrying about imminent RSI, this might be a realistic path towards safety.
2. Even if we don't have a lot of FT... (read more)