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The safest investment is Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). Ordinary investors should avoid investing in derivative securities such as options. If you are rationally pessimistic go with TIPS.
Also, you would never get the 1/100 odds because in a sense money is more valuable in the st...(read more)
I'm interested in learning more about extremely early readers. I would be grateful if you contacted me at
High functioning autism might in part be caused by an "overclocking" of the brain.
(1) Autistic children have on average larger brains than neurotypical children do.
(2) High IQ parents are more likely than average to have autistic children.
(3) An extremely disproportionate number of...(read more)
“What justifies the right of your past self to exert coercive control over your future self? There may be overlap of interests, which is one of the typical de facto criteria for coercive intervention; but can your past self have an epistemic vantage point over your future self?”
In genera...(read more)
ShardPhoenix wrote "Doesn't the choice of a perfect external regulator amount to the same thing as directly imposing restrictions on yourself, thereby going back to the original problem?"
No because if there are many possible future states of the world it wouldn't be practical for you in advance to...(read more)
You are forgetting about "Werewolf Contracts" in the Golden Age. Under these contracts you can appoint someone who can "use force, if necessary, to keep the subscribing party away from addictions, bad nanomachines, bad dreams or other self-imposed mental alterations."
If you sign such a contract t...(read more)
Non-lawyers often believe that lawyers and judges believe that laws and contracts should be interpreted literally.
"Eliezer, I'd advise no sudden moves; think very carefully before doing anything."
But about 100 people die every minute!
I have signed up with Alcor. When I suggest to other people that they should sign up the common response has been that they wouldn't want to be brought back to life after they died.
I don't understand this response. I'm almost certain that if most of these people found out they had cancer and wou...(read more)
You and Robin seem to be focused on different time periods. Robin is claiming that after ems are created one group probably won't get a dominant position. You are saying that post-singularity (or at least post one day before the singularity) there will be either one dominant group or a high likeli...(read more)