What timezone(s) will this programme be running in, please?
Is the opening paragraph at the top of this article the prompt you have Claude or text for us?
If the latter, could you share the prompt here, please?
There’s this nice paper where a load of different researchers are given the same (I think simulated) data and looked at how researchers result.
Might the research you were thinking of be the work by raphael Silberzahn, Eric L. Uhlmann and Brian Nosek?
Nature comment: https://www.nature.com/articles/526189a
Full research article: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2515245917747646
In the UK, I think the most common assumption for cauliflower ear would be playing rugby, rather than a combat sport.
No idea if that's the statistically correct inference from seeing someone with the condition.
I enjoyed filling this out!
The question here is the opposite of its title:
Unknown features Which of the following features of the LessWrong website did you know how to use before you read this question?
That could result in some respondents answering in reverse if they skim.
As well as the generic suggestions people are making in the answers, it seems like you might be able to get more specific suggestions if the question specified whether you're looking for long distance vs. nearby/in-person dating, and (if the latter) a rough idea of where you are located.
You've got an asterisk in the first sentence, but I couldn't see it referencing anything.
~1.2e16 bases annually
Is this a typo? If I'm reading the chart correctly, it looks like it's of the order 1.2e15.
Blaise Pascal – the I Think Therefore I Am guy
The 'I think therefore I am' guy was René Descartes.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cogito,_ergo_sum
Checking about 2 years after my initial post, it looks like $TSLA has fallen by more than 50%: it looks like the split-adjusted price in early April 2022 was around $330 or $340, and today it's around $145.
Eyeballing the chart, it looks like it's always been lower than that in the subsequent period, and was down to around $185 at the 12 month mark that was initially the target of the competition. That last bit is the bit that was least clear to me at the time: it seemed high probability that Tesla stock would have to fall at some point, but I expressed uncertainty about when because I thought there was a fair probability the market could stay irrational for a longer period.