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JoachimSchipper
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What would you like from Microcovid.org? How valuable would it be to you?
JoachimSchipper4y87

I've used microcovid occasionally, to make sure my intuitive feelings about risk were not completely crazy (and that did cause some updates; notably, putting numbers to staying outdoors had an influence.) I'm not a heavy user, but I do appreciate the work you've done!

I'd basically like to see more of the same - update microcovid.org for omicron and keep it going.

(FWIW, I'm in the Netherlands, where we just entered a new lockdown for omicron. So COVID unfortunately isn't "over".)

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What does the reaction to NFTs tell us about how people evaluate ecological damage?
Answer by JoachimSchipperMar 24, 202110

You're right that a negative affect to NFTs in particular / blockchain stuff in general is part of the reaction, but I don't see the reasoning error in

  • "<X> causes greater electricity consumption;
  • on the margin, greater electricity consumption currently causes <more pollution / finite resources to be consumed faster / more birds to die due to windmills / ...>, which is bad;
  • this is a downside to <X>."

It's probably the case that NFTs do not directly cause greater electricity consumption, but NFTs do plausibly indirectly cause greater electricity consumption, e.g. via making Ethereum more valuable, thus increasing mining rewards, thus increasing competition.

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Saving for the long term
JoachimSchipper11y30

Although I've heard the advice to leave after a year, my experience has been different - after three years, I'm still learning a lot and I'm beginning to tackle the really hard problems. Basically, I find myself agreeing with Yossi Kreinin's reply to Patrick McKenzie's advice, at least so far. (Both links are very much worth reading.)

Of course, you do need to push for interesting assignments and space to learn. Also, be sure to pick a company that actually does something interesting in the first place - I work on embedded crypto devices for the government market, in a company that's young enough that there's still plenty of flexibility.

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Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, January 2015, chapter 103
JoachimSchipper11y90
  • Batman is a murderer no less than the Joker, for all the lives the Joker took that Batman could've saved by killing him. ch. 85
  • "It's not fair to the innocent bystanders to play at being Batman if you can't actually protect everyone under that code." ch. 91
  • Harry had no intention of saying it out loud, of course, but now that he'd failed decisively to prevent any deaths during his quest, he had no further intention of being restrained by the law or even the code of Batman.ch. 97.
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[meta] New LW moderator: NancyLebovitz
JoachimSchipper11y60

Thanks, Nancy, for putting in this effort.

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The Importance of Sidekicks
JoachimSchipper11y00

Some people do need to see that link, but note that it, too, is rather dangerous.

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Unemployment explanations
JoachimSchipper11y130

And, of course, encouraging homeownership makes this worse. Good thing that most of the Western world hasn't made that an explicit policy goal for the past decade...

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2014 Less Wrong Census/Survey
JoachimSchipper11y30

I was pretty happy about that, actually.

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2014 Less Wrong Census/Survey
JoachimSchipper11y20

I assume that TheAncientGeek has actually submitted the survey; in that case, their comment is "proof" that they deserve karma.

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2014 Less Wrong Census/Survey
JoachimSchipper11y310

I, too, took the survey. (And promptly forgot to claim my karma; oh well.)

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